Thyroid stimulating hormone (TSH)
TSH is the main screening test for thyroid function. Published upper limits for adults run from 2.5 to 4.8 mIU/L, rise with age and differ in pregnancy. In pooled cohorts, TSH of 10 or above went with more heart disease and TSH below 0.1 with more fractures. Levothyroxine for mildly raised TSH did not improve symptoms in trials.
- Status
- A blood test ordered by a clinician and also sold direct to consumers by some US laboratories. FDA classifies thyroid stimulating hormone test systems as class II devices [1]. The US Preventive Services Task Force concluded in 2015 that the evidence was insufficient to weigh the benefits and harms of screening nonpregnant adults who have no symptoms [2].
- Measures
- The amount of thyroid stimulating hormone in blood, a hormone made by the pituitary gland [1].
- Also called
- TSH, thyrotropin, thyroid stimulating hormone, thyroid-stimulating hormone, thyrotropic hormone, thyrotrophin, TSH 3rd generation, third generation TSH, sensitive TSH, ultrasensitive TSH, TSH with reflex to free T4
- Tested for
- thyroid check, underactive thyroid, overactive thyroid, fatigue, weight gain, hair loss, checking a thyroid medication dose, pregnancy planning
Strong several reviews agree · Moderate one review or consistent trials · Limited one or a few small studies · Untested no study in people, listed with what it rests on
Linked in research5
- StrongLinked to more deaths at low TSH, with no rise in deaths at mildly raised TSH, across three pooled analyses of cohorts.
- ModerateLinked to more coronary heart disease at TSH of 10 mIU/L or above, with no link at 4.5 to 6.9 mIU/L or inside the reference range, in pooled cohorts.
- ModerateLinked to more atrial fibrillation at TSH below 0.45 mIU/L, with no link inside the reference range or at mildly raised TSH, in pooled cohorts.
- ModerateLinked to more hip and other fractures at TSH below 0.45 mIU/L, most at TSH below 0.10, with no link at raised TSH.
- ModerateLinked to later hypothyroidism in a graded way, starting inside the reference range and rising further when thyroid antibodies are present.
Reported risks0
No risks sourced yet.
Reference ranges
Each range is the one its source published, in mIU/L. Where sources differ, each is shown.
American Thyroid Association and American Association of Clinical Endocrinologists hypothyroidism guideline, 2012
Nonpregnant adults in iodine-sufficient areas, when the laboratory has no reference range of its own · [3], [4]
| Range | What the source calls it |
|---|---|
| below 0.45 mIU/L | No name given |
| 0.45 to 4.12 mIU/L | "normal range" |
| above 4.12 mIU/L | No name given |
The guideline says a laboratory's own reference range comes first and that the normal range changes with age. Where no such range is available it gives 4.12 mIU/L as the upper limit of normal and 0.45 mIU/L as the lower limit. The 4.12 figure comes from the NHANES III reference population: people with no reported thyroid disease and no thyroid antibodies who were not pregnant and not taking estrogens, androgens or lithium [3][4]. The guideline's own table lists other published upper limits, including 2.5 from the National Academy of Clinical Biochemistry and 4.5 for the NHANES III population screened only for reported thyroid disease. It reports 97.5th percentile values from 3.24 mIU/L in African Americans aged 30 to 39 to 7.84 in Mexican Americans aged 80 and older [3]. Lab reports also print this unit as µIU/mL or mU/L, which give the same number [5].
US Preventive Services Task Force recommendation statement, 2015
Nonpregnant adults with a normal thyroxine (T4) level · [2]
| Range | What the source calls it |
|---|---|
| below 0.1 mIU/L | "clearly low or undetectable" |
| 0.1 to 0.4 mIU/L | "low but detectable" |
| 0.4 to 4.5 mIU/L | "reference interval" |
| 4.5 to 10 mIU/L | "subclinical hypothyroidism" |
| above 10 mIU/L | "subclinical hypothyroidism" |
The Task Force describes the 4.5 mIU/L upper threshold as commonly but arbitrarily defined, and splits subclinical hypothyroidism into 4.5 to 10.0 mIU/L and greater than 10.0 mIU/L. The two low bands are its two classes of subclinical hyperthyroidism. All of these terms apply only when T4 is normal. With an abnormal T4 the Task Force uses the terms overt hypothyroidism and overt hyperthyroidism. It prints the low band as about 0.1 to 0.4 mIU/L and the usual laboratory reference interval as about 0.4 to 4.5 mIU/L, so the two meet at 0.4. It states that TSH can vary by as much as 50% of mean values from day to day, that multiple tests over 3 to 6 months are used to confirm an abnormal finding, and that about 37% of people with subclinical hypothyroidism return to normal thyroid function without treatment after several years [2].
European Thyroid Association guidelines, 2013 and 2015
Nonpregnant adults whose free thyroid hormone levels are inside their reference intervals · [6], [7]
| Range | What the source calls it |
|---|---|
| below 0.1 mIU/L | "grade 2 subclinical hyperthyroidism" |
| 0.1 to 0.39 mIU/L | "grade 1 subclinical hyperthyroidism" |
| 0.4 to 4 mIU/L | No name given |
| 4 to 10 mIU/L | "mildly increased" |
| above 10 mIU/L | "more severely increased" One to see a doctor about |
Two guidelines from one body are joined here so that the whole number line is covered. The 2015 guideline grades subclinical hyperthyroidism as grade 1 at 0.1 to 0.39 mIU/L and grade 2 below 0.1 mIU/L [7]. The 2013 guideline sorts subclinical hypothyroidism into mildly increased TSH at 4.0 to 10.0 mU/L and more severely increased TSH above 10 mU/L, and prints the lower half of the reference range as 0.4 to 2.5 mU/L. It gives no name to results between 0.4 and 4.0 [6]. These terms require free thyroid hormone levels inside their own reference intervals and a result that persists. The 2013 guideline calls for a repeat TSH and free T4 after 2 to 3 months, and for age-specific local ranges to be considered in older people [6].
American Board of Internal Medicine laboratory reference ranges, 2026
Adults, as a general laboratory reference range · [5]
| Range | What the source calls it |
|---|---|
| below 0.5 mIU/L | No name given |
| 0.5 to 4 mIU/L | "reference range" |
| above 4 mIU/L | No name given |
Printed as 0.5 to 4.0 µU/mL (0.5 to 4.0 mU/L). The table names no assay, age group or pregnancy status [5].
US National Library of Medicine, MedlinePlus
Adults · [8]
| Range | What the source calls it |
|---|---|
| below 0.4 mIU/L | No name given |
| 0.4 to 4.8 mIU/L | "normal" |
| above 4.8 mIU/L | No name given |
MedlinePlus states that experts do not fully agree on the upper number, that some laboratories use a higher upper limit for older people, even as high as 7 µU/mL, and that the range is different in pregnancy. It also states that TSH values vary during the day [8].
Proposed narrower upper limit, Wartofsky and Dickey, 2005
Adults, upper limit only · [9], [3]
| Range | What the source calls it |
|---|---|
| 2.5 or below mIU/L | No name given |
| above 2.5 mIU/L | No name given |
A proposal, and one side of a published debate. The authors argued that earlier reference populations included people with unrecognized thyroid dysfunction, and cited National Academy of Clinical Biochemistry guidelines indicating that more than 95% of normal individuals have TSH below 2.5 mU/L [9]. A US guideline describes this as a suggestion to lower the upper limit of the reference range to 2.5 mIU/L and did not adopt it [3]. In a reply in the same journal, Surks and colleagues argued for keeping 4.5 mIU/L. In the NHANES III reference group, 85% had TSH below 2.5 mIU/L and a further 9.7%, about 20.6 million Americans, had TSH between 2.5 and 4.5 mIU/L, many of them without thyroid disease [10]. A later pooled analysis of 55,412 people found no difference in coronary heart disease between TSH of 3.50 to 4.49 and 0.45 to 1.49 mIU/L [11]. The proposal gives no lower limit, so this block does not place low results.
Thyroid Epidemiology, Audit, and Research Study, Scotland, 2013, ages 31 to 40
Adults aged 31 to 40 with no evidence of thyroid disease · [12]
| Range | What the source calls it |
|---|---|
| below 0.51 mIU/L | No name given |
| 0.51 to 3.98 mIU/L | "reference interval" |
| above 3.98 mIU/L | No name given |
The 2.5th and 97.5th centiles of the latest TSH result in 153,127 adults in Tayside with no thyroid prescription, thyroid admission or surgery, radioactive iodine treatment or positive thyroid antibodies. Median TSH was 1.58 mU/L in this age group. The abstract prints centiles for the youngest and oldest age groups only [12]. In the US NHANES III survey, the 97.5th centile was 3.56 mIU/L at ages 20 to 29 [13].
Thyroid Epidemiology, Audit, and Research Study, Scotland, 2013, over age 90
Adults over 90 with no evidence of thyroid disease · [12]
| Range | What the source calls it |
|---|---|
| below 0.31 mIU/L | No name given |
| 0.31 to 5.94 mIU/L | "reference interval" |
| above 5.94 mIU/L | No name given |
From the same 153,127 adults. Median TSH rose from 1.58 mU/L at ages 31 to 40 to 1.86 mU/L over age 90, the 97.5th centile rose from 3.98 to 5.94 mU/L and the 2.5th centile fell from 0.51 to 0.31 mU/L [12]. In the US NHANES III survey, the 97.5th centile was 7.49 mIU/L at ages 80 and older, and 70% of older people with TSH above 4.5 mIU/L were inside their age-specific range [13].
American Thyroid Association pregnancy guideline, 2017
Pregnancy from weeks 7 to 12 onward, when no pregnancy-specific range from the local or a similar population is available · [14]
| Range | What the source calls it |
|---|---|
| 4 or below mIU/L | No name given |
| above 4 mIU/L | No name given |
The guideline's first choice is a trimester-specific range from the local population, set in pregnant women with no thyroid disease, no TPO antibodies and adequate iodine intake. Failing that, it describes lowering the nonpregnant lower limit by about 0.4 mU/L and the upper limit by about 0.5 mU/L in the first trimester. For the typical patient that gives an upper reference limit of 4.0 mU/L from the late first trimester, with a gradual return toward the nonpregnant range later in pregnancy. It prints no number for the lower limit, so this block does not place low results. It reports TSH below 0.4 mU/L in as many as 15% of women without thyroid disease in the first trimester [14].
Endocrine Society pregnancy guideline, 2012, first trimester
First trimester of pregnancy · [15]
| Range | What the source calls it |
|---|---|
| below 0.1 mIU/L | No name given |
| 0.1 to 2.5 mIU/L | "normal" |
| above 2.5 mIU/L | No name given |
The guideline states that in the first trimester the normal range is reduced to 0.1 to 2.5 mIU/L, and that a result inside the classical 0.4 to 4.0 mIU/L range might be misread as normal. For women taking thyroxine it sets treatment targets of below 2.5 mIU/L in the first trimester and below 3 mIU/L in the second and third [15]. These limits are lower than the 4.0 mU/L of the 2017 American Thyroid Association guideline [14].
American Thyroid Association and American Association of Clinical Endocrinologists hypothyroidism guideline, 2012, first trimester
First trimester of pregnancy, when the laboratory has no trimester-specific range, upper limit only · [3]
| Range | What the source calls it |
|---|---|
| 2.5 or below mIU/L | No name given |
| above 2.5 mIU/L | No name given |
The guideline gives upper limits only, so this block does not place low results. Its first choice is the laboratory's own trimester-specific range [3]. The 2017 American Thyroid Association pregnancy guideline moved to an upper limit of about 4.0 mU/L [14].
American Thyroid Association and American Association of Clinical Endocrinologists hypothyroidism guideline, 2012, second trimester
Second trimester of pregnancy, when the laboratory has no trimester-specific range, upper limit only · [3]
| Range | What the source calls it |
|---|---|
| 3 or below mIU/L | No name given |
| above 3 mIU/L | No name given |
The guideline gives upper limits only, so this block does not place low results. Its first choice is the laboratory's own trimester-specific range [3].
American Thyroid Association and American Association of Clinical Endocrinologists hypothyroidism guideline, 2012, third trimester
Third trimester of pregnancy, when the laboratory has no trimester-specific range, upper limit only · [3]
| Range | What the source calls it |
|---|---|
| 3.5 or below mIU/L | No name given |
| above 3.5 mIU/L | No name given |
The guideline gives upper limits only, so this block does not place low results. Its first choice is the laboratory's own trimester-specific range [3].
What has been shown to move it
Shown to lower it3
Symptoms and quality of life in subclinical hypothyroidism
Not shown to improve quality of life or thyroid symptoms in adults with subclinical hypothyroidism, including those 65 or older, though it brought TSH into range.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Thyroid hormone lowered mean TSH into the reference range (0.5 to 3.7 mIU/L against 4.6 to 14.7 on placebo) but did not change general quality of life (SMD -0.11, 95% CI -0.25 to 0.03) or thyroid-related symptoms (SMD 0.01, 95% CI -0.12 to 0.14) [1]. In adults aged 65 or older, the change in Hypothyroid Symptoms score at 1 year was 0.2 on both levothyroxine and placebo (difference 0.0, 95% CI -2.0 to 2.1). Tiredness scores did not differ (difference 0.4, 95% CI -2.1 to 2.9), and no secondary outcome improved [2].
- Population
- 21 RCTs with 2,192 nonpregnant adults, 3 to 18 months [1]; 737 adults with mean age 74.4 and TSH 4.60 to 19.99 mIU/L [2].
- Sources
- [1], [2]
- Caveats
- Most participants had mildly raised TSH. [1] rated the evidence moderate to high quality. [2] was funded by the European Union FP7 and others.
Thyroid function in pregnancy
Mixed results: reviews agree iodine lowered maternal thyroglobulin in pregnancy, but disagree on whether TSH changed.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Most studies found no effect on maternal or infant TSH or free thyroxine. Most RCTs found lower maternal thyroglobulin, and 3 found less growth in thyroid volume [3]. Cochrane found no clear difference in hypothyroidism in pregnancy or postpartum and postpartum hyperthyroidism fell (RR 0.32, 95% CI 0.11 to 0.91, 3 trials, 543 women) [5]. A 2026 meta-analysis found lower TSH (SMD -0.14, 95% CI -0.23 to -0.05) and lower thyroglobulin (SMD -0.22, 95% CI -0.32 to -0.13) with supplementation, with larger TSH drops at 200 to 300 µg a day [6].
- Population
- 37 publications in mildly to moderately deficient women [3]; 14 trials, 11 contributing data from over 2,700 women [5]; iodine-deficient pregnant women in English and Chinese studies [6].
- Sources
- [3], [5], [6]
- Caveats
- Cochrane rated the evidence low or very low quality and found the data insufficient for meaningful conclusions [5]. The reviews agree on lower thyroglobulin and differ on TSH [3][6]. The 2026 abstract does not give the number of studies or women [6].
Hashimoto's thyroiditis
Mixed results: thyroid antibodies fell in people with Hashimoto's in both reviews, while reviews disagree on whether TSH changed.
On TSH, sources disagree.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Thyroid peroxidase antibodies fell in both reviews. In people on levothyroxine, the weighted mean difference after 3 months was -271 (95% CI -366 to -175) [5]. Across 29 cohorts, the SMD was -0.96 (95% CI -1.36 to -0.56) [6]. On TSH, sources disagree. In people not on thyroid hormone, a 2017 review found no change in TSH, quality of life or ultrasound findings [7]. A 2024 review found TSH lower (SMD -0.21, 95% CI -0.43 to -0.02, 869 people) [6].
- Population
- Adults with chronic autoimmune thyroiditis, 16 trials [5], 9 trials [7] and 35 studies [6].
- Sources
- [5], [6], [7]
- Caveats
- Antibody levels are a lab marker. The 2016 review rated evidence quality low [5], and the 2024 review moderate, with I² of 90% for antibodies [6].
Shown to raise it2
Thyroid function
Shown to raise TSH slightly, by 0.25 mIU/L, in pooled trials, with no change in free T3 or free T4.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- Soy raised thyroid stimulating hormone (WMD 0.248 mIU/L, 95% CI 0.001 to 0.494, I² 80.31%). Free T3 (0.027 pmol/L, 95% CI -0.052 to 0.107) and free T4 (-0.003 pmol/L, 95% CI -0.018 to 0.011) did not change. The authors call the clinical significance of the TSH rise unclear [16].
- Population
- Randomized trials in 18 articles [16].
- Sources
- [16]
- Caveats
- High heterogeneity, and the lower bound of the TSH interval is close to zero [16].
Reduced levothyroxine absorption
Limited evidence: in 20 adults on levothyroxine, 1,200 mg of calcium carbonate lowered free T4 and raised TSH, which returned after stopping calcium.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- Very common: more than 1 in 10 people.
- Effect
- Taking 1,200 mg of calcium as carbonate with levothyroxine for 3 months lowered free T4 from 17 to 15 pmol/L and raised TSH from 1.6 to 2.7 mIU/L. Both returned after calcium stopped. 20% of patients had TSH above the normal range on calcium [15].
- Population
- 20 adults with hypothyroidism on stable levothyroxine [15].
- Sources
- [15]
- Caveats
- A small uncontrolled cohort, with lab data showing T4 binds to calcium carbonate in acid [15].
Tested, and not shown to change it2
Thyroid hormones
Not shown to change TSH or T3 in adults across 23 trials. T4 rose slightly, by 0.61 µg/dL.
Iodine
One trial found urinary iodine fell by half within 6 months in postmenopausal women, while it held steady on a Nordic guideline diet.
FT4 and TSH did not differ, and FT3 was lower at 6 months.
The numbers and sources
- How common
- How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
- Effect
- Median 24-hour urinary iodine concentration fell from 71.0 to 36.0 μg/L at 6 months (p 0.001), and 24-hour iodine excretion from 134.0 to 77.0 μg/d. Levels did not change on the comparison diet. FT4 and TSH did not differ, and FT3 was lower at 6 months [8]. In a 4-week trial, iodine intake was 47.9 μg a day lower than on the Australian national guide diet (95% CI 16.5 to 79.2) [7].
- Population
- 70 postmenopausal women with overweight or obesity over 2 years [8]; 39 women over 4 weeks [7].
- Sources
- [7], [8]
- Caveats
- The diet excludes table salt and dairy, which the authors call two of the largest iodine sources [8]. Small trials in women.
How it compares with the reference method
Mixed results4
Repeat testing after an out-of-range result
One large study found that without thyroid treatment, 62% of mildly raised and 51% of low TSH results were inside the laboratory range on repeat testing.
The numbers and sources
- Compared with
- The same person's repeat TSH measurements over 5 years
- Effect
- In a health organization database, TSH returned to the laboratory's limits of 0.35 to 5.5 mIU/L in 62.1% of people who started above 5.5 and up to 10 mIU/L, 27.2% of those who started above 10 mIU/L and 51.2% of those who started below 0.35 mIU/L. Of people with a first result inside the limits, 98% stayed inside them [29]. The US Preventive Services Task Force states that multiple tests over 3 to 6 months are used to confirm or rule out an abnormal finding [2].
- Population
- 422,242 outpatients with no thyroid disease or pregnancy, of whom 346,549 took no thyroid medication during follow-up [29].
- Sources
- [29], [2]
- Caveats
- One database from one health organization. The study gives no threshold for agreement, so the result is given as numbers only [29].
Variation within one person
One small study found a single TSH result placed a man's usual level only within about 50%, across monthly tests for a year.
The numbers and sources
- Compared with
- The same person's results on 12 monthly draws
- Effect
- In 16 men sampled monthly for 12 months, one test result described the individual's set point with a precision of plus or minus 50% for TSH. The difference needed to be 95% confident of a real change between two results averaged 0.75 mU/L, with a range of 0.2 to 1.6 mU/L across the men. Each man's own spread of results was about half as wide as the group's [30]. A US guideline reports that TSH varies through the day by up to about 50% of mean values [3].
- Population
- 16 men described as healthy [30].
- Sources
- [30], [3]
- Caveats
- Sixteen men at one center. The study states no threshold for agreement [30].
Differences between assays
One comparison found the upper reference limit differed by up to 2.13 mIU/L between manufacturers' TSH assays run on the same samples.
The numbers and sources
- Compared with
- A statistically derived all-assay target, since TSH has no reference measurement method
- Effect
- When 14 manufacturers measured the same panels, the assay-specific estimates of the 97.5th percentile spanned 2.13 mIU/L, the medians 0.89 mIU/L and the 2.5th percentiles 0.27 mIU/L. After the assays were recalibrated to a common target those spans fell to 0.77, 0.29 and 0.12 mIU/L, and the spread of assay means fell from a coefficient of variation of 9.5% to 4.2%. After recalibration, 14 of 15 assays met the bias specification [32].
- Population
- Clinical serum panels measured by 14 manufacturers in a study by the IFCC Committee for Standardization of Thyroid Function Tests [32].
- Sources
- [32]
- Caveats
- A proof of concept. The abstract does not say whether laboratories have adopted the recalibration, so a result may still depend on the assay used [32].
Biotin supplements and the assay
One small study found 10 mg a day of biotin gave falsely low results in 4 of 15 biotin-based sandwich immunoassays, across analytes that included TSH.
The numbers and sources
- Compared with
- The same person's result before taking biotin
- Effect
- After 7 days of 10 mg a day of biotin, interference appeared in 9 of 23 assays built on biotin and streptavidin (39%) and in none of 14 assays built without them. Four of 15 biotin-based sandwich immunoassays read falsely low and 5 of 8 biotin-based competitive immunoassays read falsely high. The 11 analytes included TSH, free T4, free T3, total T4 and total T3, measured on 4 diagnostic systems [33].
- Population
- 6 adults described as healthy, mean age 38 [33].
- Sources
- [33]
- Caveats
- Six people. The abstract does not list which TSH assays were affected, and many assays showed no interference [33].
Did not match the reference method1
Time of day
One large study found the upper limit of the TSH reference interval shifted with the hour of the blood draw, because TSH rises overnight.
The numbers and sources
- Compared with
- Samples drawn at other hours of the day
- Effect
- In 465,593 TSH measurements from people without thyroid disease, the reference interval varied significantly by hour of day, age, sex and ethnicity, and not by time of year. The lower limit stayed constant, while the upper limit rose from 6.45 to 7.55 mIU/L with age, mainly through a larger night-time surge [31]. A review of the reference range debate states that early morning values are greater than later ones, and that the pattern is accentuated by sleep deprivation, strenuous exercise and night or evening shift work [10].
- Population
- 465,593 TSH measurements from people aged 1 to 104, on a single immunoassay method [31].
- Sources
- [31], [10]
- Caveats
- A retrospective analysis of laboratory records from one health system and one assay. The abstract does not give the size of the difference between hours [31].
What studies tie it to
Linked in research5
Coronary heart disease
Linked to more coronary heart disease at TSH of 10 mIU/L or above, with no link at 4.5 to 6.9 mIU/L or inside the reference range, in pooled cohorts.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In pooled data on 55,287 adults, the hazard ratio for coronary heart disease events against a TSH of 0.50 to 4.49 mIU/L was 1.00 (95% CI 0.86 to 1.18) at 4.5 to 6.9 mIU/L, 1.17 (0.96 to 1.43) at 7.0 to 9.9 mIU/L and 1.89 (1.28 to 2.80) at 10 to 19.9 mIU/L. For coronary deaths the figures were 1.09 (0.91 to 1.30), 1.42 (1.03 to 1.95) and 1.58 (1.10 to 2.27) [16]. Among 55,412 people with TSH inside 0.45 to 4.49 mIU/L, each 1 mIU/L higher TSH had a hazard ratio of 0.97 (0.90 to 1.04) for coronary death and 1.00 (0.97 to 1.03) for a first coronary event [11]. In people with TSH below 0.45 mIU/L and normal free T4, the hazard ratio for coronary death was 1.29 (1.02 to 1.62) [17].
- Population
- 55,287 adults in 11 prospective cohorts, with events data from 7 [16]. 55,412 adults in 14 cohorts with no known thyroid or cardiovascular disease [11]. 52,674 adults in 10 cohorts [17].
- Sources
- [16], [11], [17]
- Caveats
- Observational. All three analyses come from one research collaboration and share cohorts. The high TSH groups had normal thyroxine, so these figures do not describe overt thyroid disease.
Death from any cause
Linked to more deaths at low TSH, with no rise in deaths at mildly raised TSH, across three pooled analyses of cohorts.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- People with TSH below 0.45 mIU/L and normal free T4 had a hazard ratio for death from any cause of 1.24 (95% CI 1.06 to 1.46) against people with TSH of 0.45 to 4.49 mIU/L [17]. Total mortality was not increased in people with TSH of 4.5 to 19.9 mIU/L and normal thyroxine [16]. In 134,346 adults, the lowest risk of cardiovascular disease and death fell at the 60th to 80th percentiles of TSH, medians of 1.90 to 2.90 mIU/L. Against that band, the lowest fifth of TSH had a hazard ratio for death from any cause of 1.09 (1.05 to 1.14) [18].
- Population
- 52,674 adults in 10 cohorts, 8,527 deaths [17]. 55,287 adults in 11 cohorts, 9,664 deaths [16]. 134,346 adults in 26 cohorts, median age 59 [18].
- Sources
- [17], [16], [18]
- Caveats
- Observational. A US guideline notes that acute illness can suppress TSH [3], so reverse causation cannot be ruled out. The percentile figures are adjusted for age and sex [18].
Atrial fibrillation
Linked to more atrial fibrillation at TSH below 0.45 mIU/L, with no link inside the reference range or at mildly raised TSH, in pooled cohorts.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In people with TSH below 0.45 mIU/L and normal free T4, the hazard ratio for new atrial fibrillation was 1.68 (95% CI 1.16 to 2.43), and risk was higher below 0.10 mIU/L than at 0.10 to 0.44 mIU/L [17]. In 30,085 people with TSH of 0.45 to 19.9 mIU/L, baseline TSH was not significantly associated with new atrial fibrillation, either inside the reference range or in subclinical hypothyroidism [19].
- Population
- 8,711 adults in 5 cohorts with atrial fibrillation data, 785 cases [17]. 30,085 adults in 11 cohorts, 2,574 cases [19].
- Sources
- [17], [19]
- Caveats
- Observational. In the second analysis, higher free T4 inside the reference range was tied to atrial fibrillation while TSH was not [19].
Fractures
Linked to more hip and other fractures at TSH below 0.45 mIU/L, most at TSH below 0.10, with no link at raised TSH.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- Against a TSH of 0.45 to 4.49 mIU/L, people with TSH below 0.45 mIU/L and normal thyroxine had a hazard ratio of 1.36 for hip fracture (95% CI 1.13 to 1.64) and 1.28 for any fracture (1.06 to 1.53). At TSH below 0.10 mIU/L the hazard ratios were 1.61 for hip fracture (1.21 to 2.15), 1.98 for any fracture (1.41 to 2.78) and 3.57 for spine fracture (1.88 to 6.78). No association was found between TSH of 4.50 to 19.99 mIU/L and fracture [20].
- Population
- 70,298 adults in 13 prospective cohorts, 762,401 person-years, 2,975 hip fractures [20].
- Sources
- [20]
- Caveats
- Observational. The authors state that trials are lacking on whether treating a low TSH prevents fractures [20].
Later hypothyroidism
Linked to later hypothyroidism in a graded way, starting inside the reference range and rising further when thyroid antibodies are present.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In a 20-year British follow-up, a raised TSH alone carried odds ratios for developing hypothyroidism of 8 in women (95% CI 3 to 20) and 44 in men (19 to 104). With thyroid antibodies as well, the odds ratios were 38 (22 to 65) and 173 (81 to 370). Risk rose with TSH values above 2 mU/L at the first survey [21]. In an Australian cohort followed 13 years, hypothyroidism at follow-up was present in 12.0% of antibody-positive women with baseline TSH of 2.5 mU/L or less, 55.2% with TSH between 2.5 and 4.0 mU/L and 85.7% with TSH above 4.0 mU/L [22]. Among 82 women with subclinical hypothyroidism, overt hypothyroidism developed within 10 years in 0% of those starting at 4 to 6 mU/L, 42.8% at above 6 to 12 mU/L and 76.9% above 12 mU/L [23].
- Population
- 2,779 adults in the Whickham Survey, with 96% of survivors followed up at 20 years [21]. 1,184 adults in the Busselton Health Surveys of 1981 and 1994 [22]. 82 women followed a mean 9.2 years [23].
- Sources
- [21], [22], [23]
- Caveats
- Observational. The Australian study defined hypothyroidism at follow-up as TSH above 4.0 mU/L or thyroxine treatment [22]. The 10-year figures come from 82 women at one clinic [23].
Mixed results1
Pregnancy and child outcomes
Mixed results: raised TSH in pregnancy was linked to more preterm birth, while a levothyroxine trial found no difference in child IQ or pregnancy outcomes.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In pooled data on 47,045 pregnant women, preterm birth occurred in 6.1% of women with a raised TSH and normal free T4 against 5.0% of women with normal results (odds ratio 1.29, 95% CI 1.01 to 1.64). Each standard deviation higher TSH had an odds ratio of 1.04 (1.00 to 1.09) [27]. In a trial of 677 pregnant women with TSH of 4.00 mU/L or more and normal free T4, the median child IQ score was 97 with levothyroxine and 94 with placebo (P = 0.71), with no significant differences in other pregnancy or neonatal outcomes [28].
- Population
- 47,045 pregnant women in 19 cohorts, median 12.9 weeks at blood sampling [27]. 677 women randomized at a mean of 16.7 weeks of pregnancy [28].
- Sources
- [27], [28]
- Caveats
- The cohort finding is observational. The trial began treatment between 8 and 20 weeks of pregnancy, so it does not describe earlier treatment [28].
Checked, no link found1
Symptoms and quality of life in trials that lowered a mildly raised TSH
Not shown to improve quality of life or thyroid symptoms when levothyroxine lowered TSH into range in 21 trials of adults with subclinical hypothyroidism.
The numbers and sources
- Effect
- In a trial of 737 adults aged 65 and older with TSH of 4.60 to 19.99 mIU/L, levothyroxine left TSH at 3.63 mIU/L at 1 year against 5.48 on placebo. The Hypothyroid Symptoms score did not differ (between-group difference 0.0, 95% CI -2.0 to 2.1), nor did the Tiredness score (0.4, -2.1 to 2.9) [24]. Across 21 trials, thyroid hormone brought mean TSH to 0.5 to 3.7 mIU/L against 4.6 to 14.7 mIU/L on placebo, with no benefit for general quality of life (standardized mean difference -0.11, 95% CI -0.25 to 0.03) or thyroid-related symptoms (0.01, -0.12 to 0.14) [25]. A guideline panel that reviewed the same trials issued a strong recommendation against thyroid hormones for adults with subclinical hypothyroidism, and stated that it does not apply to women trying to become pregnant or to people with TSH above 20 mIU/L [26].
- Population
- 737 adults, mean age 74.4, mean baseline TSH 6.40 mIU/L [24]. 2,192 nonpregnant adults in 21 randomized trials lasting 3 to 18 months [25].
- Sources
- [24], [25], [26]
- Caveats
- A marker that tracks an outcome is not always one whose correction changes it. The pooled trials lasted 3 to 18 months. The guideline panel judged effects on cardiovascular events and deaths to be uncertain, measured in one trial with few events [26].
Sources
- US Food and Drug Administration. 21 CFR 862.1690, Thyroid stimulating hormone test system. Electronic Code of Federal Regulations. https://www.ecfr.gov/current/title-21/section-862.1690
- LeFevre ML, US Preventive Services Task Force. Screening for Thyroid Dysfunction: U.S. Preventive Services Task Force Recommendation Statement. Annals of Internal Medicine. 2015. https://doi.org/10.7326/m15-0483
- Garber JR, Cobin RH, Gharib H, et al. Clinical Practice Guidelines for Hypothyroidism in Adults: Cosponsored by the American Association of Clinical Endocrinologists and the American Thyroid Association. Endocrine Practice. 2012. https://doi.org/10.4158/ep12280.gl
- Hollowell JG, Staehling NW, Flanders WD, et al. Serum TSH, T4, and Thyroid Antibodies in the United States Population (1988 to 1994): National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES III). The Journal of Clinical Endocrinology and Metabolism. 2002. https://doi.org/10.1210/jcem.87.2.8182
- American Board of Internal Medicine. ABIM Laboratory Test Reference Ranges. January 2026. https://www.abim.org/Media/bfijryql/laboratory-reference-ranges.pdf
- Pearce SHS, Brabant G, Duntas LH, et al. 2013 ETA Guideline: Management of Subclinical Hypothyroidism. European Thyroid Journal. 2013. https://doi.org/10.1159/000356507
- Biondi B, Bartalena L, Cooper DS, et al. The 2015 European Thyroid Association Guidelines on Diagnosis and Treatment of Endogenous Subclinical Hyperthyroidism. European Thyroid Journal. 2015. https://doi.org/10.1159/000438750
- US National Library of Medicine. TSH test. MedlinePlus Medical Encyclopedia. Reviewed January 25, 2026. https://medlineplus.gov/ency/article/003684.htm
- Wartofsky L, Dickey RA. The Evidence for a Narrower Thyrotropin Reference Range Is Compelling. The Journal of Clinical Endocrinology and Metabolism. 2005. https://doi.org/10.1210/jc.2005-0455
- Surks MI, Goswami G, Daniels GH. The Thyrotropin Reference Range Should Remain Unchanged. The Journal of Clinical Endocrinology and Metabolism. 2005. https://doi.org/10.1210/jc.2005-0170
- Åsvold BO, Vatten LJ, Bjøro T, et al. Thyroid Function Within the Normal Range and Risk of Coronary Heart Disease: An Individual Participant Data Analysis of 14 Cohorts. JAMA Internal Medicine. 2015. https://doi.org/10.1001/jamainternmed.2015.0930
- Vadiveloo T, Donnan PT, Murphy MJ, et al. Age- and Gender-Specific TSH Reference Intervals in People With No Obvious Thyroid Disease in Tayside, Scotland: The Thyroid Epidemiology, Audit, and Research Study (TEARS). The Journal of Clinical Endocrinology and Metabolism. 2013. https://doi.org/10.1210/jc.2012-3191
- Surks MI, Hollowell JG. Age-Specific Distribution of Serum Thyrotropin and Antithyroid Antibodies in the U.S. Population: Implications for the Prevalence of Subclinical Hypothyroidism. The Journal of Clinical Endocrinology and Metabolism. 2007. https://doi.org/10.1210/jc.2007-1499
- Alexander EK, Pearce EN, Brent GA, et al. 2017 Guidelines of the American Thyroid Association for the Diagnosis and Management of Thyroid Disease During Pregnancy and the Postpartum. Thyroid. 2017. https://doi.org/10.1089/thy.2016.0457
- De Groot L, Abalovich M, Alexander EK, et al. Management of Thyroid Dysfunction during Pregnancy and Postpartum: An Endocrine Society Clinical Practice Guideline. The Journal of Clinical Endocrinology and Metabolism. 2012. https://doi.org/10.1210/jc.2011-2803
- Rodondi N, den Elzen WPJ, Bauer DC, et al. Subclinical Hypothyroidism and the Risk of Coronary Heart Disease and Mortality. JAMA. 2010. https://doi.org/10.1001/jama.2010.1361
- Collet TH, Gussekloo J, Bauer DC, et al. Subclinical Hyperthyroidism and the Risk of Coronary Heart Disease and Mortality. Archives of Internal Medicine. 2012. https://doi.org/10.1001/archinternmed.2012.402
- Xu Y, Derakhshan A, Hysaj O, et al. The optimal healthy ranges of thyroid function defined by the risk of cardiovascular disease and mortality: systematic review and individual participant data meta-analysis. The Lancet Diabetes and Endocrinology. 2023. https://doi.org/10.1016/s2213-8587(23)00227-9
- Baumgartner C, da Costa BR, Collet TH, et al. Thyroid Function Within the Normal Range, Subclinical Hypothyroidism, and the Risk of Atrial Fibrillation. Circulation. 2017. https://doi.org/10.1161/circulationaha.117.028753
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