← Back

Research · Lab markers

Thyroid stimulating hormone (TSH)

TSH is the main screening test for thyroid function. Published upper limits for adults run from 2.5 to 4.8 mIU/L, rise with age and differ in pregnancy. In pooled cohorts, TSH of 10 or above went with more heart disease and TSH below 0.1 with more fractures. Levothyroxine for mildly raised TSH did not improve symptoms in trials.

Checked 2026-11-13
Status
A blood test ordered by a clinician and also sold direct to consumers by some US laboratories. FDA classifies thyroid stimulating hormone test systems as class II devices [1]. The US Preventive Services Task Force concluded in 2015 that the evidence was insufficient to weigh the benefits and harms of screening nonpregnant adults who have no symptoms [2].
Measures
The amount of thyroid stimulating hormone in blood, a hormone made by the pituitary gland [1].
Also called
TSH, thyrotropin, thyroid stimulating hormone, thyroid-stimulating hormone, thyrotropic hormone, thyrotrophin, TSH 3rd generation, third generation TSH, sensitive TSH, ultrasensitive TSH, TSH with reflex to free T4
Tested for
thyroid check, underactive thyroid, overactive thyroid, fatigue, weight gain, hair loss, checking a thyroid medication dose, pregnancy planning

Strong several reviews agree · Moderate one review or consistent trials · Limited one or a few small studies · Untested no study in people, listed with what it rests on

Reported risks0

No risks sourced yet.

Reference ranges

Each range is the one its source published, in mIU/L. Where sources differ, each is shown.

American Thyroid Association and American Association of Clinical Endocrinologists hypothyroidism guideline, 2012

Nonpregnant adults in iodine-sufficient areas, when the laboratory has no reference range of its own · [3], [4]

RangeWhat the source calls it
below 0.45 mIU/LNo name given
0.45 to 4.12 mIU/L"normal range"
above 4.12 mIU/LNo name given

The guideline says a laboratory's own reference range comes first and that the normal range changes with age. Where no such range is available it gives 4.12 mIU/L as the upper limit of normal and 0.45 mIU/L as the lower limit. The 4.12 figure comes from the NHANES III reference population: people with no reported thyroid disease and no thyroid antibodies who were not pregnant and not taking estrogens, androgens or lithium [3][4]. The guideline's own table lists other published upper limits, including 2.5 from the National Academy of Clinical Biochemistry and 4.5 for the NHANES III population screened only for reported thyroid disease. It reports 97.5th percentile values from 3.24 mIU/L in African Americans aged 30 to 39 to 7.84 in Mexican Americans aged 80 and older [3]. Lab reports also print this unit as µIU/mL or mU/L, which give the same number [5].

US Preventive Services Task Force recommendation statement, 2015

Nonpregnant adults with a normal thyroxine (T4) level · [2]

RangeWhat the source calls it
below 0.1 mIU/L"clearly low or undetectable"
0.1 to 0.4 mIU/L"low but detectable"
0.4 to 4.5 mIU/L"reference interval"
4.5 to 10 mIU/L"subclinical hypothyroidism"
above 10 mIU/L"subclinical hypothyroidism"

The Task Force describes the 4.5 mIU/L upper threshold as commonly but arbitrarily defined, and splits subclinical hypothyroidism into 4.5 to 10.0 mIU/L and greater than 10.0 mIU/L. The two low bands are its two classes of subclinical hyperthyroidism. All of these terms apply only when T4 is normal. With an abnormal T4 the Task Force uses the terms overt hypothyroidism and overt hyperthyroidism. It prints the low band as about 0.1 to 0.4 mIU/L and the usual laboratory reference interval as about 0.4 to 4.5 mIU/L, so the two meet at 0.4. It states that TSH can vary by as much as 50% of mean values from day to day, that multiple tests over 3 to 6 months are used to confirm an abnormal finding, and that about 37% of people with subclinical hypothyroidism return to normal thyroid function without treatment after several years [2].

European Thyroid Association guidelines, 2013 and 2015

Nonpregnant adults whose free thyroid hormone levels are inside their reference intervals · [6], [7]

RangeWhat the source calls it
below 0.1 mIU/L"grade 2 subclinical hyperthyroidism"
0.1 to 0.39 mIU/L"grade 1 subclinical hyperthyroidism"
0.4 to 4 mIU/LNo name given
4 to 10 mIU/L"mildly increased"
above 10 mIU/L"more severely increased" One to see a doctor about

Two guidelines from one body are joined here so that the whole number line is covered. The 2015 guideline grades subclinical hyperthyroidism as grade 1 at 0.1 to 0.39 mIU/L and grade 2 below 0.1 mIU/L [7]. The 2013 guideline sorts subclinical hypothyroidism into mildly increased TSH at 4.0 to 10.0 mU/L and more severely increased TSH above 10 mU/L, and prints the lower half of the reference range as 0.4 to 2.5 mU/L. It gives no name to results between 0.4 and 4.0 [6]. These terms require free thyroid hormone levels inside their own reference intervals and a result that persists. The 2013 guideline calls for a repeat TSH and free T4 after 2 to 3 months, and for age-specific local ranges to be considered in older people [6].

American Board of Internal Medicine laboratory reference ranges, 2026

Adults, as a general laboratory reference range · [5]

RangeWhat the source calls it
below 0.5 mIU/LNo name given
0.5 to 4 mIU/L"reference range"
above 4 mIU/LNo name given

Printed as 0.5 to 4.0 µU/mL (0.5 to 4.0 mU/L). The table names no assay, age group or pregnancy status [5].

US National Library of Medicine, MedlinePlus

Adults · [8]

RangeWhat the source calls it
below 0.4 mIU/LNo name given
0.4 to 4.8 mIU/L"normal"
above 4.8 mIU/LNo name given

MedlinePlus states that experts do not fully agree on the upper number, that some laboratories use a higher upper limit for older people, even as high as 7 µU/mL, and that the range is different in pregnancy. It also states that TSH values vary during the day [8].

Proposed narrower upper limit, Wartofsky and Dickey, 2005

Adults, upper limit only · [9], [3]

RangeWhat the source calls it
2.5 or below mIU/LNo name given
above 2.5 mIU/LNo name given

A proposal, and one side of a published debate. The authors argued that earlier reference populations included people with unrecognized thyroid dysfunction, and cited National Academy of Clinical Biochemistry guidelines indicating that more than 95% of normal individuals have TSH below 2.5 mU/L [9]. A US guideline describes this as a suggestion to lower the upper limit of the reference range to 2.5 mIU/L and did not adopt it [3]. In a reply in the same journal, Surks and colleagues argued for keeping 4.5 mIU/L. In the NHANES III reference group, 85% had TSH below 2.5 mIU/L and a further 9.7%, about 20.6 million Americans, had TSH between 2.5 and 4.5 mIU/L, many of them without thyroid disease [10]. A later pooled analysis of 55,412 people found no difference in coronary heart disease between TSH of 3.50 to 4.49 and 0.45 to 1.49 mIU/L [11]. The proposal gives no lower limit, so this block does not place low results.

Thyroid Epidemiology, Audit, and Research Study, Scotland, 2013, ages 31 to 40

Adults aged 31 to 40 with no evidence of thyroid disease · [12]

RangeWhat the source calls it
below 0.51 mIU/LNo name given
0.51 to 3.98 mIU/L"reference interval"
above 3.98 mIU/LNo name given

The 2.5th and 97.5th centiles of the latest TSH result in 153,127 adults in Tayside with no thyroid prescription, thyroid admission or surgery, radioactive iodine treatment or positive thyroid antibodies. Median TSH was 1.58 mU/L in this age group. The abstract prints centiles for the youngest and oldest age groups only [12]. In the US NHANES III survey, the 97.5th centile was 3.56 mIU/L at ages 20 to 29 [13].

Thyroid Epidemiology, Audit, and Research Study, Scotland, 2013, over age 90

Adults over 90 with no evidence of thyroid disease · [12]

RangeWhat the source calls it
below 0.31 mIU/LNo name given
0.31 to 5.94 mIU/L"reference interval"
above 5.94 mIU/LNo name given

From the same 153,127 adults. Median TSH rose from 1.58 mU/L at ages 31 to 40 to 1.86 mU/L over age 90, the 97.5th centile rose from 3.98 to 5.94 mU/L and the 2.5th centile fell from 0.51 to 0.31 mU/L [12]. In the US NHANES III survey, the 97.5th centile was 7.49 mIU/L at ages 80 and older, and 70% of older people with TSH above 4.5 mIU/L were inside their age-specific range [13].

American Thyroid Association pregnancy guideline, 2017

Pregnancy from weeks 7 to 12 onward, when no pregnancy-specific range from the local or a similar population is available · [14]

RangeWhat the source calls it
4 or below mIU/LNo name given
above 4 mIU/LNo name given

The guideline's first choice is a trimester-specific range from the local population, set in pregnant women with no thyroid disease, no TPO antibodies and adequate iodine intake. Failing that, it describes lowering the nonpregnant lower limit by about 0.4 mU/L and the upper limit by about 0.5 mU/L in the first trimester. For the typical patient that gives an upper reference limit of 4.0 mU/L from the late first trimester, with a gradual return toward the nonpregnant range later in pregnancy. It prints no number for the lower limit, so this block does not place low results. It reports TSH below 0.4 mU/L in as many as 15% of women without thyroid disease in the first trimester [14].

Endocrine Society pregnancy guideline, 2012, first trimester

First trimester of pregnancy · [15]

RangeWhat the source calls it
below 0.1 mIU/LNo name given
0.1 to 2.5 mIU/L"normal"
above 2.5 mIU/LNo name given

The guideline states that in the first trimester the normal range is reduced to 0.1 to 2.5 mIU/L, and that a result inside the classical 0.4 to 4.0 mIU/L range might be misread as normal. For women taking thyroxine it sets treatment targets of below 2.5 mIU/L in the first trimester and below 3 mIU/L in the second and third [15]. These limits are lower than the 4.0 mU/L of the 2017 American Thyroid Association guideline [14].

American Thyroid Association and American Association of Clinical Endocrinologists hypothyroidism guideline, 2012, first trimester

First trimester of pregnancy, when the laboratory has no trimester-specific range, upper limit only · [3]

RangeWhat the source calls it
2.5 or below mIU/LNo name given
above 2.5 mIU/LNo name given

The guideline gives upper limits only, so this block does not place low results. Its first choice is the laboratory's own trimester-specific range [3]. The 2017 American Thyroid Association pregnancy guideline moved to an upper limit of about 4.0 mU/L [14].

American Thyroid Association and American Association of Clinical Endocrinologists hypothyroidism guideline, 2012, second trimester

Second trimester of pregnancy, when the laboratory has no trimester-specific range, upper limit only · [3]

RangeWhat the source calls it
3 or below mIU/LNo name given
above 3 mIU/LNo name given

The guideline gives upper limits only, so this block does not place low results. Its first choice is the laboratory's own trimester-specific range [3].

American Thyroid Association and American Association of Clinical Endocrinologists hypothyroidism guideline, 2012, third trimester

Third trimester of pregnancy, when the laboratory has no trimester-specific range, upper limit only · [3]

RangeWhat the source calls it
3.5 or below mIU/LNo name given
above 3.5 mIU/LNo name given

The guideline gives upper limits only, so this block does not place low results. Its first choice is the laboratory's own trimester-specific range [3].

What has been shown to move it

Shown to lower it3

LevothyroxineStrong

Symptoms and quality of life in subclinical hypothyroidism

Not shown to improve quality of life or thyroid symptoms in adults with subclinical hypothyroidism, including those 65 or older, though it brought TSH into range.

The numbers and sources
Effect
Thyroid hormone lowered mean TSH into the reference range (0.5 to 3.7 mIU/L against 4.6 to 14.7 on placebo) but did not change general quality of life (SMD -0.11, 95% CI -0.25 to 0.03) or thyroid-related symptoms (SMD 0.01, 95% CI -0.12 to 0.14) [1]. In adults aged 65 or older, the change in Hypothyroid Symptoms score at 1 year was 0.2 on both levothyroxine and placebo (difference 0.0, 95% CI -2.0 to 2.1). Tiredness scores did not differ (difference 0.4, 95% CI -2.1 to 2.9), and no secondary outcome improved [2].
Population
21 RCTs with 2,192 nonpregnant adults, 3 to 18 months [1]; 737 adults with mean age 74.4 and TSH 4.60 to 19.99 mIU/L [2].
Sources
[1], [2]
Caveats
Most participants had mildly raised TSH. [1] rated the evidence moderate to high quality. [2] was funded by the European Union FP7 and others.
IodineModerateStudied in pregnancy

Thyroid function in pregnancy

Mixed results: reviews agree iodine lowered maternal thyroglobulin in pregnancy, but disagree on whether TSH changed.

The numbers and sources
Effect
Most studies found no effect on maternal or infant TSH or free thyroxine. Most RCTs found lower maternal thyroglobulin, and 3 found less growth in thyroid volume [3]. Cochrane found no clear difference in hypothyroidism in pregnancy or postpartum and postpartum hyperthyroidism fell (RR 0.32, 95% CI 0.11 to 0.91, 3 trials, 543 women) [5]. A 2026 meta-analysis found lower TSH (SMD -0.14, 95% CI -0.23 to -0.05) and lower thyroglobulin (SMD -0.22, 95% CI -0.32 to -0.13) with supplementation, with larger TSH drops at 200 to 300 µg a day [6].
Population
37 publications in mildly to moderately deficient women [3]; 14 trials, 11 contributing data from over 2,700 women [5]; iodine-deficient pregnant women in English and Chinese studies [6].
Sources
[3], [5], [6]
Caveats
Cochrane rated the evidence low or very low quality and found the data insufficient for meaningful conclusions [5]. The reviews agree on lower thyroglobulin and differ on TSH [3][6]. The 2026 abstract does not give the number of studies or women [6].
SeleniumModerate

Hashimoto's thyroiditis

Mixed results: thyroid antibodies fell in people with Hashimoto's in both reviews, while reviews disagree on whether TSH changed.

On TSH, sources disagree.

The numbers and sources
Effect
Thyroid peroxidase antibodies fell in both reviews. In people on levothyroxine, the weighted mean difference after 3 months was -271 (95% CI -366 to -175) [5]. Across 29 cohorts, the SMD was -0.96 (95% CI -1.36 to -0.56) [6]. On TSH, sources disagree. In people not on thyroid hormone, a 2017 review found no change in TSH, quality of life or ultrasound findings [7]. A 2024 review found TSH lower (SMD -0.21, 95% CI -0.43 to -0.02, 869 people) [6].
Population
Adults with chronic autoimmune thyroiditis, 16 trials [5], 9 trials [7] and 35 studies [6].
Sources
[5], [6], [7]
Caveats
Antibody levels are a lab marker. The 2016 review rated evidence quality low [5], and the 2024 review moderate, with I² of 90% for antibodies [6].

Shown to raise it2

Soy foodsModerateHow often is not known

Thyroid function

Shown to raise TSH slightly, by 0.25 mIU/L, in pooled trials, with no change in free T3 or free T4.

The numbers and sources
How common
How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
Effect
Soy raised thyroid stimulating hormone (WMD 0.248 mIU/L, 95% CI 0.001 to 0.494, I² 80.31%). Free T3 (0.027 pmol/L, 95% CI -0.052 to 0.107) and free T4 (-0.003 pmol/L, 95% CI -0.018 to 0.011) did not change. The authors call the clinical significance of the TSH rise unclear [16].
Population
Randomized trials in 18 articles [16].
Sources
[16]
Caveats
High heterogeneity, and the lower bound of the TSH interval is close to zero [16].
CalciumLimitedVery common

Reduced levothyroxine absorption

Limited evidence: in 20 adults on levothyroxine, 1,200 mg of calcium carbonate lowered free T4 and raised TSH, which returned after stopping calcium.

The numbers and sources
How common
Very common: more than 1 in 10 people.
Effect
Taking 1,200 mg of calcium as carbonate with levothyroxine for 3 months lowered free T4 from 17 to 15 pmol/L and raised TSH from 1.6 to 2.7 mIU/L. Both returned after calcium stopped. 20% of patients had TSH above the normal range on calcium [15].
Population
20 adults with hypothyroidism on stable levothyroxine [15].
Sources
[15]
Caveats
A small uncontrolled cohort, with lab data showing T4 binds to calcium carbonate in acid [15].

Tested, and not shown to change it2

AshwagandhaModerate

Thyroid hormones

Not shown to change TSH or T3 in adults across 23 trials. T4 rose slightly, by 0.61 µg/dL.

The numbers and sources
Effect
Across 23 placebo-controlled trials, TSH and T3 did not change, and T4 rose by 0.61 µg/dL (p = 0.02) [6].
Population
1,706 adults [6].
Sources
[6]
Caveats
The authors note heterogeneity and limited data on some endpoints [6].
Paleo dietLimitedStudied in womenHow often is not known

Iodine

One trial found urinary iodine fell by half within 6 months in postmenopausal women, while it held steady on a Nordic guideline diet.

FT4 and TSH did not differ, and FT3 was lower at 6 months.

The numbers and sources
How common
How often is not known: the sources give no rate.
Effect
Median 24-hour urinary iodine concentration fell from 71.0 to 36.0 μg/L at 6 months (p 0.001), and 24-hour iodine excretion from 134.0 to 77.0 μg/d. Levels did not change on the comparison diet. FT4 and TSH did not differ, and FT3 was lower at 6 months [8]. In a 4-week trial, iodine intake was 47.9 μg a day lower than on the Australian national guide diet (95% CI 16.5 to 79.2) [7].
Population
70 postmenopausal women with overweight or obesity over 2 years [8]; 39 women over 4 weeks [7].
Sources
[7], [8]
Caveats
The diet excludes table salt and dairy, which the authors call two of the largest iodine sources [8]. Small trials in women.

Type in your own result

How it compares with the reference method

Mixed results4

Limited

Repeat testing after an out-of-range result

One large study found that without thyroid treatment, 62% of mildly raised and 51% of low TSH results were inside the laboratory range on repeat testing.

The numbers and sources
Compared with
The same person's repeat TSH measurements over 5 years
Effect
In a health organization database, TSH returned to the laboratory's limits of 0.35 to 5.5 mIU/L in 62.1% of people who started above 5.5 and up to 10 mIU/L, 27.2% of those who started above 10 mIU/L and 51.2% of those who started below 0.35 mIU/L. Of people with a first result inside the limits, 98% stayed inside them [29]. The US Preventive Services Task Force states that multiple tests over 3 to 6 months are used to confirm or rule out an abnormal finding [2].
Population
422,242 outpatients with no thyroid disease or pregnancy, of whom 346,549 took no thyroid medication during follow-up [29].
Sources
[29], [2]
Caveats
One database from one health organization. The study gives no threshold for agreement, so the result is given as numbers only [29].
LimitedStudied in men

Variation within one person

One small study found a single TSH result placed a man's usual level only within about 50%, across monthly tests for a year.

The numbers and sources
Compared with
The same person's results on 12 monthly draws
Effect
In 16 men sampled monthly for 12 months, one test result described the individual's set point with a precision of plus or minus 50% for TSH. The difference needed to be 95% confident of a real change between two results averaged 0.75 mU/L, with a range of 0.2 to 1.6 mU/L across the men. Each man's own spread of results was about half as wide as the group's [30]. A US guideline reports that TSH varies through the day by up to about 50% of mean values [3].
Population
16 men described as healthy [30].
Sources
[30], [3]
Caveats
Sixteen men at one center. The study states no threshold for agreement [30].
Limited

Differences between assays

One comparison found the upper reference limit differed by up to 2.13 mIU/L between manufacturers' TSH assays run on the same samples.

The numbers and sources
Compared with
A statistically derived all-assay target, since TSH has no reference measurement method
Effect
When 14 manufacturers measured the same panels, the assay-specific estimates of the 97.5th percentile spanned 2.13 mIU/L, the medians 0.89 mIU/L and the 2.5th percentiles 0.27 mIU/L. After the assays were recalibrated to a common target those spans fell to 0.77, 0.29 and 0.12 mIU/L, and the spread of assay means fell from a coefficient of variation of 9.5% to 4.2%. After recalibration, 14 of 15 assays met the bias specification [32].
Population
Clinical serum panels measured by 14 manufacturers in a study by the IFCC Committee for Standardization of Thyroid Function Tests [32].
Sources
[32]
Caveats
A proof of concept. The abstract does not say whether laboratories have adopted the recalibration, so a result may still depend on the assay used [32].
Limited

Biotin supplements and the assay

One small study found 10 mg a day of biotin gave falsely low results in 4 of 15 biotin-based sandwich immunoassays, across analytes that included TSH.

The numbers and sources
Compared with
The same person's result before taking biotin
Effect
After 7 days of 10 mg a day of biotin, interference appeared in 9 of 23 assays built on biotin and streptavidin (39%) and in none of 14 assays built without them. Four of 15 biotin-based sandwich immunoassays read falsely low and 5 of 8 biotin-based competitive immunoassays read falsely high. The 11 analytes included TSH, free T4, free T3, total T4 and total T3, measured on 4 diagnostic systems [33].
Population
6 adults described as healthy, mean age 38 [33].
Sources
[33]
Caveats
Six people. The abstract does not list which TSH assays were affected, and many assays showed no interference [33].

Did not match the reference method1

Limited

Time of day

One large study found the upper limit of the TSH reference interval shifted with the hour of the blood draw, because TSH rises overnight.

The numbers and sources
Compared with
Samples drawn at other hours of the day
Effect
In 465,593 TSH measurements from people without thyroid disease, the reference interval varied significantly by hour of day, age, sex and ethnicity, and not by time of year. The lower limit stayed constant, while the upper limit rose from 6.45 to 7.55 mIU/L with age, mainly through a larger night-time surge [31]. A review of the reference range debate states that early morning values are greater than later ones, and that the pattern is accentuated by sleep deprivation, strenuous exercise and night or evening shift work [10].
Population
465,593 TSH measurements from people aged 1 to 104, on a single immunoassay method [31].
Sources
[31], [10]
Caveats
A retrospective analysis of laboratory records from one health system and one assay. The abstract does not give the size of the difference between hours [31].

What studies tie it to

Linked in research5

Moderate

Coronary heart disease

Linked to more coronary heart disease at TSH of 10 mIU/L or above, with no link at 4.5 to 6.9 mIU/L or inside the reference range, in pooled cohorts.

The numbers and sources
Effect
In pooled data on 55,287 adults, the hazard ratio for coronary heart disease events against a TSH of 0.50 to 4.49 mIU/L was 1.00 (95% CI 0.86 to 1.18) at 4.5 to 6.9 mIU/L, 1.17 (0.96 to 1.43) at 7.0 to 9.9 mIU/L and 1.89 (1.28 to 2.80) at 10 to 19.9 mIU/L. For coronary deaths the figures were 1.09 (0.91 to 1.30), 1.42 (1.03 to 1.95) and 1.58 (1.10 to 2.27) [16]. Among 55,412 people with TSH inside 0.45 to 4.49 mIU/L, each 1 mIU/L higher TSH had a hazard ratio of 0.97 (0.90 to 1.04) for coronary death and 1.00 (0.97 to 1.03) for a first coronary event [11]. In people with TSH below 0.45 mIU/L and normal free T4, the hazard ratio for coronary death was 1.29 (1.02 to 1.62) [17].
Population
55,287 adults in 11 prospective cohorts, with events data from 7 [16]. 55,412 adults in 14 cohorts with no known thyroid or cardiovascular disease [11]. 52,674 adults in 10 cohorts [17].
Sources
[16], [11], [17]
Caveats
Observational. All three analyses come from one research collaboration and share cohorts. The high TSH groups had normal thyroxine, so these figures do not describe overt thyroid disease.
Strong

Death from any cause

Linked to more deaths at low TSH, with no rise in deaths at mildly raised TSH, across three pooled analyses of cohorts.

The numbers and sources
Effect
People with TSH below 0.45 mIU/L and normal free T4 had a hazard ratio for death from any cause of 1.24 (95% CI 1.06 to 1.46) against people with TSH of 0.45 to 4.49 mIU/L [17]. Total mortality was not increased in people with TSH of 4.5 to 19.9 mIU/L and normal thyroxine [16]. In 134,346 adults, the lowest risk of cardiovascular disease and death fell at the 60th to 80th percentiles of TSH, medians of 1.90 to 2.90 mIU/L. Against that band, the lowest fifth of TSH had a hazard ratio for death from any cause of 1.09 (1.05 to 1.14) [18].
Population
52,674 adults in 10 cohorts, 8,527 deaths [17]. 55,287 adults in 11 cohorts, 9,664 deaths [16]. 134,346 adults in 26 cohorts, median age 59 [18].
Sources
[17], [16], [18]
Caveats
Observational. A US guideline notes that acute illness can suppress TSH [3], so reverse causation cannot be ruled out. The percentile figures are adjusted for age and sex [18].
Moderate

Atrial fibrillation

Linked to more atrial fibrillation at TSH below 0.45 mIU/L, with no link inside the reference range or at mildly raised TSH, in pooled cohorts.

The numbers and sources
Effect
In people with TSH below 0.45 mIU/L and normal free T4, the hazard ratio for new atrial fibrillation was 1.68 (95% CI 1.16 to 2.43), and risk was higher below 0.10 mIU/L than at 0.10 to 0.44 mIU/L [17]. In 30,085 people with TSH of 0.45 to 19.9 mIU/L, baseline TSH was not significantly associated with new atrial fibrillation, either inside the reference range or in subclinical hypothyroidism [19].
Population
8,711 adults in 5 cohorts with atrial fibrillation data, 785 cases [17]. 30,085 adults in 11 cohorts, 2,574 cases [19].
Sources
[17], [19]
Caveats
Observational. In the second analysis, higher free T4 inside the reference range was tied to atrial fibrillation while TSH was not [19].
Moderate

Fractures

Linked to more hip and other fractures at TSH below 0.45 mIU/L, most at TSH below 0.10, with no link at raised TSH.

The numbers and sources
Effect
Against a TSH of 0.45 to 4.49 mIU/L, people with TSH below 0.45 mIU/L and normal thyroxine had a hazard ratio of 1.36 for hip fracture (95% CI 1.13 to 1.64) and 1.28 for any fracture (1.06 to 1.53). At TSH below 0.10 mIU/L the hazard ratios were 1.61 for hip fracture (1.21 to 2.15), 1.98 for any fracture (1.41 to 2.78) and 3.57 for spine fracture (1.88 to 6.78). No association was found between TSH of 4.50 to 19.99 mIU/L and fracture [20].
Population
70,298 adults in 13 prospective cohorts, 762,401 person-years, 2,975 hip fractures [20].
Sources
[20]
Caveats
Observational. The authors state that trials are lacking on whether treating a low TSH prevents fractures [20].
Moderate

Later hypothyroidism

Linked to later hypothyroidism in a graded way, starting inside the reference range and rising further when thyroid antibodies are present.

The numbers and sources
Effect
In a 20-year British follow-up, a raised TSH alone carried odds ratios for developing hypothyroidism of 8 in women (95% CI 3 to 20) and 44 in men (19 to 104). With thyroid antibodies as well, the odds ratios were 38 (22 to 65) and 173 (81 to 370). Risk rose with TSH values above 2 mU/L at the first survey [21]. In an Australian cohort followed 13 years, hypothyroidism at follow-up was present in 12.0% of antibody-positive women with baseline TSH of 2.5 mU/L or less, 55.2% with TSH between 2.5 and 4.0 mU/L and 85.7% with TSH above 4.0 mU/L [22]. Among 82 women with subclinical hypothyroidism, overt hypothyroidism developed within 10 years in 0% of those starting at 4 to 6 mU/L, 42.8% at above 6 to 12 mU/L and 76.9% above 12 mU/L [23].
Population
2,779 adults in the Whickham Survey, with 96% of survivors followed up at 20 years [21]. 1,184 adults in the Busselton Health Surveys of 1981 and 1994 [22]. 82 women followed a mean 9.2 years [23].
Sources
[21], [22], [23]
Caveats
Observational. The Australian study defined hypothyroidism at follow-up as TSH above 4.0 mU/L or thyroxine treatment [22]. The 10-year figures come from 82 women at one clinic [23].

Mixed results1

Moderate

Pregnancy and child outcomes

Mixed results: raised TSH in pregnancy was linked to more preterm birth, while a levothyroxine trial found no difference in child IQ or pregnancy outcomes.

The numbers and sources
Effect
In pooled data on 47,045 pregnant women, preterm birth occurred in 6.1% of women with a raised TSH and normal free T4 against 5.0% of women with normal results (odds ratio 1.29, 95% CI 1.01 to 1.64). Each standard deviation higher TSH had an odds ratio of 1.04 (1.00 to 1.09) [27]. In a trial of 677 pregnant women with TSH of 4.00 mU/L or more and normal free T4, the median child IQ score was 97 with levothyroxine and 94 with placebo (P = 0.71), with no significant differences in other pregnancy or neonatal outcomes [28].
Population
47,045 pregnant women in 19 cohorts, median 12.9 weeks at blood sampling [27]. 677 women randomized at a mean of 16.7 weeks of pregnancy [28].
Sources
[27], [28]
Caveats
The cohort finding is observational. The trial began treatment between 8 and 20 weeks of pregnancy, so it does not describe earlier treatment [28].

Checked, no link found1

Strong

Symptoms and quality of life in trials that lowered a mildly raised TSH

Not shown to improve quality of life or thyroid symptoms when levothyroxine lowered TSH into range in 21 trials of adults with subclinical hypothyroidism.

The numbers and sources
Effect
In a trial of 737 adults aged 65 and older with TSH of 4.60 to 19.99 mIU/L, levothyroxine left TSH at 3.63 mIU/L at 1 year against 5.48 on placebo. The Hypothyroid Symptoms score did not differ (between-group difference 0.0, 95% CI -2.0 to 2.1), nor did the Tiredness score (0.4, -2.1 to 2.9) [24]. Across 21 trials, thyroid hormone brought mean TSH to 0.5 to 3.7 mIU/L against 4.6 to 14.7 mIU/L on placebo, with no benefit for general quality of life (standardized mean difference -0.11, 95% CI -0.25 to 0.03) or thyroid-related symptoms (0.01, -0.12 to 0.14) [25]. A guideline panel that reviewed the same trials issued a strong recommendation against thyroid hormones for adults with subclinical hypothyroidism, and stated that it does not apply to women trying to become pregnant or to people with TSH above 20 mIU/L [26].
Population
737 adults, mean age 74.4, mean baseline TSH 6.40 mIU/L [24]. 2,192 nonpregnant adults in 21 randomized trials lasting 3 to 18 months [25].
Sources
[24], [25], [26]
Caveats
A marker that tracks an outcome is not always one whose correction changes it. The pooled trials lasted 3 to 18 months. The guideline panel judged effects on cardiovascular events and deaths to be uncertain, measured in one trial with few events [26].

Sources

  1. US Food and Drug Administration. 21 CFR 862.1690, Thyroid stimulating hormone test system. Electronic Code of Federal Regulations. https://www.ecfr.gov/current/title-21/section-862.1690
  2. LeFevre ML, US Preventive Services Task Force. Screening for Thyroid Dysfunction: U.S. Preventive Services Task Force Recommendation Statement. Annals of Internal Medicine. 2015. https://doi.org/10.7326/m15-0483
  3. Garber JR, Cobin RH, Gharib H, et al. Clinical Practice Guidelines for Hypothyroidism in Adults: Cosponsored by the American Association of Clinical Endocrinologists and the American Thyroid Association. Endocrine Practice. 2012. https://doi.org/10.4158/ep12280.gl
  4. Hollowell JG, Staehling NW, Flanders WD, et al. Serum TSH, T4, and Thyroid Antibodies in the United States Population (1988 to 1994): National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES III). The Journal of Clinical Endocrinology and Metabolism. 2002. https://doi.org/10.1210/jcem.87.2.8182
  5. American Board of Internal Medicine. ABIM Laboratory Test Reference Ranges. January 2026. https://www.abim.org/Media/bfijryql/laboratory-reference-ranges.pdf
  6. Pearce SHS, Brabant G, Duntas LH, et al. 2013 ETA Guideline: Management of Subclinical Hypothyroidism. European Thyroid Journal. 2013. https://doi.org/10.1159/000356507
  7. Biondi B, Bartalena L, Cooper DS, et al. The 2015 European Thyroid Association Guidelines on Diagnosis and Treatment of Endogenous Subclinical Hyperthyroidism. European Thyroid Journal. 2015. https://doi.org/10.1159/000438750
  8. US National Library of Medicine. TSH test. MedlinePlus Medical Encyclopedia. Reviewed January 25, 2026. https://medlineplus.gov/ency/article/003684.htm
  9. Wartofsky L, Dickey RA. The Evidence for a Narrower Thyrotropin Reference Range Is Compelling. The Journal of Clinical Endocrinology and Metabolism. 2005. https://doi.org/10.1210/jc.2005-0455
  10. Surks MI, Goswami G, Daniels GH. The Thyrotropin Reference Range Should Remain Unchanged. The Journal of Clinical Endocrinology and Metabolism. 2005. https://doi.org/10.1210/jc.2005-0170
  11. Åsvold BO, Vatten LJ, Bjøro T, et al. Thyroid Function Within the Normal Range and Risk of Coronary Heart Disease: An Individual Participant Data Analysis of 14 Cohorts. JAMA Internal Medicine. 2015. https://doi.org/10.1001/jamainternmed.2015.0930
  12. Vadiveloo T, Donnan PT, Murphy MJ, et al. Age- and Gender-Specific TSH Reference Intervals in People With No Obvious Thyroid Disease in Tayside, Scotland: The Thyroid Epidemiology, Audit, and Research Study (TEARS). The Journal of Clinical Endocrinology and Metabolism. 2013. https://doi.org/10.1210/jc.2012-3191
  13. Surks MI, Hollowell JG. Age-Specific Distribution of Serum Thyrotropin and Antithyroid Antibodies in the U.S. Population: Implications for the Prevalence of Subclinical Hypothyroidism. The Journal of Clinical Endocrinology and Metabolism. 2007. https://doi.org/10.1210/jc.2007-1499
  14. Alexander EK, Pearce EN, Brent GA, et al. 2017 Guidelines of the American Thyroid Association for the Diagnosis and Management of Thyroid Disease During Pregnancy and the Postpartum. Thyroid. 2017. https://doi.org/10.1089/thy.2016.0457
  15. De Groot L, Abalovich M, Alexander EK, et al. Management of Thyroid Dysfunction during Pregnancy and Postpartum: An Endocrine Society Clinical Practice Guideline. The Journal of Clinical Endocrinology and Metabolism. 2012. https://doi.org/10.1210/jc.2011-2803
  16. Rodondi N, den Elzen WPJ, Bauer DC, et al. Subclinical Hypothyroidism and the Risk of Coronary Heart Disease and Mortality. JAMA. 2010. https://doi.org/10.1001/jama.2010.1361
  17. Collet TH, Gussekloo J, Bauer DC, et al. Subclinical Hyperthyroidism and the Risk of Coronary Heart Disease and Mortality. Archives of Internal Medicine. 2012. https://doi.org/10.1001/archinternmed.2012.402
  18. Xu Y, Derakhshan A, Hysaj O, et al. The optimal healthy ranges of thyroid function defined by the risk of cardiovascular disease and mortality: systematic review and individual participant data meta-analysis. The Lancet Diabetes and Endocrinology. 2023. https://doi.org/10.1016/s2213-8587(23)00227-9
  19. Baumgartner C, da Costa BR, Collet TH, et al. Thyroid Function Within the Normal Range, Subclinical Hypothyroidism, and the Risk of Atrial Fibrillation. Circulation. 2017. https://doi.org/10.1161/circulationaha.117.028753
  20. Blum MR, Bauer DC, Collet TH, et al. Subclinical Thyroid Dysfunction and Fracture Risk: A Meta-analysis. JAMA. 2015. https://doi.org/10.1001/jama.2015.5161
  21. Vanderpump MP, Tunbridge WM, French JM, et al. The incidence of thyroid disorders in the community: a twenty-year follow-up of the Whickham Survey. Clinical Endocrinology. 1995. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2265.1995.tb01894.x
  22. Walsh JP, Bremner AP, Feddema P, et al. Thyrotropin and Thyroid Antibodies as Predictors of Hypothyroidism: A 13-Year, Longitudinal Study of a Community-Based Cohort Using Current Immunoassay Techniques. The Journal of Clinical Endocrinology and Metabolism. 2010. https://doi.org/10.1210/jc.2009-1977
  23. Huber G, Staub JJ, Meier C, et al. Prospective Study of the Spontaneous Course of Subclinical Hypothyroidism: Prognostic Value of Thyrotropin, Thyroid Reserve, and Thyroid Antibodies. The Journal of Clinical Endocrinology and Metabolism. 2002. https://doi.org/10.1210/jcem.87.7.8678
  24. Stott DJ, Rodondi N, Kearney PM, et al. Thyroid Hormone Therapy for Older Adults with Subclinical Hypothyroidism. New England Journal of Medicine. 2017. https://doi.org/10.1056/nejmoa1603825
  25. Feller M, Snel M, Moutzouri E, et al. Association of Thyroid Hormone Therapy With Quality of Life and Thyroid-Related Symptoms in Patients With Subclinical Hypothyroidism: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis. JAMA. 2018. https://doi.org/10.1001/jama.2018.13770
  26. Bekkering GE, Agoritsas T, Lytvyn L, et al. Thyroid hormones treatment for subclinical hypothyroidism: a clinical practice guideline. BMJ. 2019. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj.l2006
  27. Consortium on Thyroid and Pregnancy Study Group on Preterm Birth, Korevaar TIM, Derakhshan A, et al. Association of Thyroid Function Test Abnormalities and Thyroid Autoimmunity With Preterm Birth: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis. JAMA. 2019. https://doi.org/10.1001/jama.2019.10931
  28. Casey BM, Thom EA, Peaceman AM, et al. Treatment of Subclinical Hypothyroidism or Hypothyroxinemia in Pregnancy. New England Journal of Medicine. 2017. https://doi.org/10.1056/nejmoa1606205
  29. Meyerovitch J, Rotman-Pikielny P, Sherf M, et al. Serum Thyrotropin Measurements in the Community: Five-Year Follow-up in a Large Network of Primary Care Physicians. Archives of Internal Medicine. 2007. https://doi.org/10.1001/archinte.167.14.1533
  30. Andersen S, Pedersen KM, Bruun NH, et al. Narrow Individual Variations in Serum T4 and T3 in Normal Subjects: A Clue to the Understanding of Subclinical Thyroid Disease. The Journal of Clinical Endocrinology and Metabolism. 2002. https://doi.org/10.1210/jcem.87.3.8165
  31. Ehrenkranz J, Bach PR, Snow GL, et al. Circadian and Circannual Rhythms in Thyroid Hormones: Determining the TSH and Free T4 Reference Intervals Based Upon Time of Day, Age, and Sex. Thyroid. 2015. https://doi.org/10.1089/thy.2014.0589
  32. Thienpont LM, Van Uytfanghe K, De Grande LAC, et al. Harmonization of Serum Thyroid-Stimulating Hormone Measurements Paves the Way for the Adoption of a More Uniform Reference Interval. Clinical Chemistry. 2017. https://doi.org/10.1373/clinchem.2016.269456
  33. Li D, Radulescu A, Shrestha RT, et al. Association of Biotin Ingestion With Performance of Hormone and Nonhormone Assays in Healthy Adults. JAMA. 2017. https://doi.org/10.1001/jama.2017.13705

Everything in the library